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Date: Sun, 2 Jan 2011 09:32:10 -0500
Subject: RE: [MT_E and I] EUR/CHF, 1/1/11, WEEKLY, Multiple RSI divergences identify bottoming pattern and ultimate trend change
Reply-To: MetaTrader_Experts_and_Indicators@yahoogroups.com
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Hello Carlo,

Thank you for your note.   We disagree, it is possible to use the same meth=
od for any equity, currency or commodity.   Optimization of RSI or any osci=
llator values is contra indicated.   Each instrument changes over time and =
values based on the historical record does not necessarily mean they will s=
erve for future price action.  I decline to =E2=80=9Coptimize=E2=80=9D RSI =
or any oscillator value.  The RSI method presented in my paper also uses sp=
ecific different divergences along with RSI tracings below of above RSI lev=
els 30 and 50.=20=20

=20

I do also use Fibonacci retracement and expansion studies along with price =
patterns, which are objective.   These were not applied to the chart exampl=
e.=20=20

=20

No indicator is =E2=80=9Calways perfect all the time=E2=80=9D, however RSI(=
14) is consistently the better oscillator with respect to its mathematical =
representation of price.   I argue that when RSI and price trace the patter=
ns and multiple divergences described in my chart example a bottom pattern =
is identified.=20=20=20

=20

If you have some other method or indicators for identification of a bottomi=
ng or topping patterns I would be interested, and request you post same.  I=
n the mean time I rely on the method and RSI tracings described.=20=20

Loren

=20

=20

From: MetaTrader_Experts_and_Indicators@yahoogroups.com [mailto:MetaTrader_=
Experts_and_Indicators@yahoogroups.com] On Behalf Of My email
Sent: Saturday, January 01, 2011 11:51 PM
To: MetaTrader_Experts_and_Indicators@yahoogroups.com
Subject: Re: [MT_E and I] EUR/CHF, 1/1/11, WEEKLY, Multiple RSI divergences=
 identify bottoming pattern and ultimate trend change

=20

=20=20


hi, Loren,

It is not possible to use the same method over all different currency or st=
ock.
Each instrument have its own "character".
RSI 14 is not always perfect all the time.
You need some tools to help you to optimise the best RSI xx for specified s=
tock or currency.

Carlo


--- 2011=E5=B9=B41=E6=9C=882=E6=97=A5 =E6=98=9F=E6=9C=9F=E6=97=A5=EF=BC=8CL=
oren Morlan <gmorlan@tampabay.rr.com> =E5=AF=AB=E9=81=93=EF=B9=95


=E5=AF=84=E4=BB=B6=E4=BA=BA: Loren Morlan <gmorlan@tampabay.rr.com>
=E4=B8=BB=E9=A1=8C: [MT_E and I] EUR/CHF, 1/1/11, WEEKLY, Multiple RSI dive=
rgences identify bottoming pattern and ultimate trend change
=E6=94=B6=E4=BB=B6=E4=BA=BA: metatrader_experts_and_indicators@yahoogroups.=
com, Divergence@yahoogroups.com
=E6=97=A5=E6=9C=9F: 2011=E5=B9=B41=E6=9C=882=E6=97=A5,=E6=98=9F=E6=9C=9F=E6=
=97=A5,=E4=B8=8A=E5=8D=887:20

=20=20

How may trend changes be accurately identified using RSI(14) and different =
type divergences?  In the chart example attached price and RSI are tracing =
a bottoming pattern which will soon introduce a trend change.=20=20

=20

RSI(14) in green traces values below 30 which is regarded as oversold .  A =
=E2=80=9CW=E2=80=9D RSI formation below 30 suggests price exhaustion.  In t=
his example RSI traced two valleys below 20 suggesting price is morbidly ov=
ersold.   Once an oversold condition is identified by RSI a classic positiv=
e divergence is first traced by RSI and price (all divergences are circled =
on chart).  RSI traces a higher value than the value traced previously.  Th=
e next and second divergence which must be a reverse negative divergence wi=
th an RSI value at or near 50 suggesting a strong move higher.  This diverg=
ence identifies the last leg down in the bottoming pattern and must form th=
e bases for the 3rd classic positive divergence when RSI again retests the =
30 level.  These different divergences must occur in this order with RSI va=
lues between 30 and 50.

=20

The exact opposite occurs at a top, with RSI 70 and 50 being the important =
levels.  RSI will trace the same sequence of different divergences and  RSI=
 =E2=80=9CM=E2=80=9D pattern.   RSI values that exceed 80 are grossly over =
bought and have the same implications as those below 20.=20

=20

This chart example identifies the penultimate RND which alerts the analyst =
to trend change upon the completion of the final CPD.  RSI has not yet turn=
ed upward, nor has a blue HA candle been traced.=20=20

=20

Loren

=20

=20


=20




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<body style=3D"background-color: #fff;">
<span style=3D"display:none">&nbsp;</span>

<!--~-|**|PrettyHtmlStartT|**|-~-->
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    <div id=3D"ygrp-text" >
=20=20=20=20=20=20
=20=20=20=20=20=20
      <p><div class=3D"WordSection1"><p class=3D"MsoNormal"><font size=3D"4=
" color=3D"#1f497d" face=3D"Calibri"><span style=3D"font-size:14.0pt;color:=
#1F497D;">Hello Carlo,<o></o></span></font></p><p class=3D"MsoNormal"><font=
 size=3D"4" color=3D"#1f497d" face=3D"Calibri"><span style=3D"font-size:14.=
0pt;color:#1F497D;">Thank you for your note.=C2=A0=C2=A0 We disagree, it is=
 possible to use the same method for any equity, currency or commodity.=C2=
=A0 =C2=A0Optimization of RSI or any oscillator values is contra indicated.=
=C2=A0 =C2=A0Each instrument changes over time and values based on the hist=
orical record does not necessarily mean they will serve for future price ac=
tion.=C2=A0 I decline to =E2=80=9Coptimize=E2=80=9D RSI or any oscillator v=
alue.=C2=A0 The RSI method presented in my paper also uses specific differe=
nt divergences along with RSI tracings below of above RSI levels 30 and 50.=
=C2=A0 <o></o></span></font></p><p class=3D"MsoNormal"><font size=3D"4" col=
or=3D"#1f497d" face=3D"Calibri"><span style=3D"font-size:14.0pt;color:#1F49=
7D;"><o>&nbsp;</o></span></font></p><p class=3D"MsoNormal"><font size=3D"4"=
 color=3D"#1f497d" face=3D"Calibri"><span style=3D"font-size:14.0pt;color:#=
1F497D;">I do also use Fibonacci retracement and expansion studies along wi=
th price patterns, which are objective.=C2=A0 =C2=A0These were not applied =
to the chart example.=C2=A0 <o></o></span></font></p><p class=3D"MsoNormal"=
><font size=3D"4" color=3D"#1f497d" face=3D"Calibri"><span style=3D"font-si=
ze:14.0pt;color:#1F497D;"><o>&nbsp;</o></span></font></p><p class=3D"MsoNor=
mal"><font size=3D"4" color=3D"#1f497d" face=3D"Calibri"><span style=3D"fon=
t-size:14.0pt;color:#1F497D;">No indicator is =E2=80=9Calways perfect all t=
he time=E2=80=9D, however RSI(14) is consistently the better oscillator wit=
h respect to its mathematical representation of price.=C2=A0=C2=A0 I argue =
that when RSI and price trace the patterns and multiple divergences describ=
ed in my chart example a bottom pattern is identified.=C2=A0 =C2=A0<o></o><=
/span></font></p><p class=3D"MsoNormal"><font size=3D"4" color=3D"#1f497d" =
face=3D"Calibri"><span style=3D"font-size:14.0pt;color:#1F497D;"><o>&nbsp;<=
/o></span></font></p><p class=3D"MsoNormal"><font size=3D"4" color=3D"#1f49=
7d" face=3D"Calibri"><span style=3D"font-size:14.0pt;color:#1F497D;">If you=
 have some other method or indicators for identification of a bottoming or =
topping patterns I would be interested, and request you post same.=C2=A0 In=
 the mean time I rely on the method and RSI tracings described.=C2=A0 <o></=
o></span></font></p><p class=3D"MsoNormal"><font size=3D"4" color=3D"#1f497=
d" face=3D"Calibri"><span style=3D"font-size:14.0pt;color:#1F497D;">Loren<o=
></o></span></font></p><p class=3D"MsoNormal"><font size=3D"4" color=3D"#1f=
497d" face=3D"Calibri"><span style=3D"font-size:14.0pt;color:#1F497D;"><o>&=
nbsp;</o></span></font></p><p class=3D"MsoNormal"><font size=3D"4" color=3D=
"#1f497d" face=3D"Calibri"><span style=3D"font-size:14.0pt;color:#1F497D;">=
<o>&nbsp;</o></span></font></p><div><div style=3D"border-top:solid #B5C4DF =
1.0pt;"><p class=3D"MsoNormal"><b><font size=3D"2" face=3D"Tahoma"><span st=
yle=3D"font-size:10.0pt;font-weight:bold;">From:</span></font></b><font siz=
e=3D"2" face=3D"Tahoma"><span style=3D"font-size:10.0pt;"> MetaTrader_Exper=
ts_and_Indicators@yahoogroups.com [mailto:MetaTrader_Experts_and_Indicators=
@yahoogroups.com] <b><span style=3D"font-weight:bold;">On Behalf Of </span>=
</b>My email<br><b><span style=3D"font-weight:bold;">Sent:</span></b> Satur=
day, January 01, 2011 11:51 PM<br><b><span style=3D"font-weight:bold;">To:<=
/span></b> MetaTrader_Experts_and_Indicators@yahoogroups.com<br><b><span st=
yle=3D"font-weight:bold;">Subject:</span></b> Re: [MT_E and I] EUR/CHF, 1/1=
/11, WEEKLY, Multiple RSI divergences identify bottoming pattern and ultima=
te trend change<o></o></span></font></p></div></div><p class=3D"MsoNormal">=
<font size=3D"3" face=3D"Times New Roman"><span style=3D"font-size:12.0pt;"=
><o>&nbsp;</o></span></font></p><p class=3D"MsoNormal"><font size=3D"3" fac=
e=3D"Times New Roman"><span style=3D"font-size:12.0pt;">&nbsp; <o></o></spa=
n></font></p><div id=3D"ygrp-mlmsg"><div id=3D"ygrp-msg"><div id=3D"ygrp-te=
xt"><table class=3D"MsoNormalTable" border=3D"0" cellspacing=3D"0" cellpadd=
ing=3D"0"><tr><td valign=3D"top"><p class=3D"MsoNormal"><font size=3D"3" fa=
ce=3D"Times New Roman"><span style=3D"font-size:12.0pt;">hi, Loren,<br><br>=
It is not possible to use the same method over all different currency or st=
ock.<br>Each instrument have its own &quot;character&quot;.<br>RSI 14 is no=
t always perfect all the time.<br>You need some tools to help you to optimi=
se the best RSI xx for specified stock or currency.<br><br>Carlo<br><br><br=
>--- <b><span style=3D"font-weight:bold;">2011</span></b></span></font><b><=
font face=3D"MS Mincho"><span style=3D"font-family:&quot;MS Mincho&quot;;fo=
nt-weight:bold;">=E5=B9=B4</span></font></b><b><span style=3D"font-weight:b=
old;">1</span></b><b><font face=3D"MS Mincho"><span style=3D"font-family:&q=
uot;MS Mincho&quot;;font-weight:bold;">=E6=9C=88</span></font></b><b><span =
style=3D"font-weight:bold;">2</span></b><b><font face=3D"MS Mincho"><span s=
tyle=3D"font-family:&quot;MS Mincho&quot;;font-weight:bold;">=E6=97=A5</spa=
n></font></b><b><span style=3D"font-weight:bold;"> </span></b><b><font face=
=3D"MS Mincho"><span style=3D"font-family:&quot;MS Mincho&quot;;font-weight=
:bold;">=E6=98=9F=E6=9C=9F=E6=97=A5=EF=BC=8C</span></font></b><b><span styl=
e=3D"font-weight:bold;">Loren Morlan <i><span style=3D"font-style:italic;">=
&lt;gmorlan@tampabay.rr.com&gt;</span></i></span></b> <font face=3D"MS Minc=
ho"><span style=3D"font-family:&quot;MS Mincho&quot;;">=E5=AF=AB=E9=81=93</=
span></font><font face=3D"Arial Unicode MS"><span>=EF=B9=95</span></font><o=
></o></p><p class=3D"MsoNormal"><font size=3D"3" face=3D"Times New Roman"><=
span style=3D"font-size:12.0pt;"><br></span></font><font face=3D"MS Mincho"=
><span style=3D"font-family:&quot;MS Mincho&quot;;">=E5=AF=84=E4=BB=B6=E4=
=BA=BA</span></font>: Loren Morlan &lt;gmorlan@tampabay.rr.com&gt;<br><font=
 face=3D"MS Mincho"><span style=3D"font-family:&quot;MS Mincho&quot;;">=E4=
=B8=BB=E9=A1=8C</span></font>: [MT_E and I] EUR/CHF, 1/1/11, WEEKLY, Multip=
le RSI divergences identify bottoming pattern and ultimate trend change<br>=
<font face=3D"MS Mincho"><span style=3D"font-family:&quot;MS Mincho&quot;;"=
>=E6=94=B6=E4=BB=B6=E4=BA=BA</span></font>: metatrader_experts_and_indicato=
rs@yahoogroups.com, Divergence@yahoogroups.com<br><font face=3D"MS Mincho">=
<span style=3D"font-family:&quot;MS Mincho&quot;;">=E6=97=A5=E6=9C=9F</span=
></font>: 2011<font face=3D"MS Mincho"><span style=3D"font-family:&quot;MS =
Mincho&quot;;">=E5=B9=B4</span></font>1<font face=3D"MS Mincho"><span style=
=3D"font-family:&quot;MS Mincho&quot;;">=E6=9C=88</span></font>2<font face=
=3D"MS Mincho"><span style=3D"font-family:&quot;MS Mincho&quot;;">=E6=97=A5=
</span></font>,<font face=3D"MS Mincho"><span style=3D"font-family:&quot;MS=
 Mincho&quot;;">=E6=98=9F=E6=9C=9F=E6=97=A5</span></font>,<font face=3D"MS =
Mincho"><span style=3D"font-family:&quot;MS Mincho&quot;;">=E4=B8=8A=E5=8D=
=88</span></font>7:20<o></o></p><div id=3D"yiv599888255"><p class=3D"MsoNor=
mal"><font size=3D"3" face=3D"Times New Roman"><span style=3D"font-size:12.=
0pt;">&nbsp; <o></o></span></font></p><div id=3D"yiv599888255ygrp-text"><di=
v><p class=3D"yiv599888255msonormal"><font size=3D"4" face=3D"Calibri"><spa=
n style=3D"font-size:14.0pt;">How may trend changes be accurately identifie=
d using RSI(14) and different type divergences?&nbsp; In the chart example =
attached price and RSI are tracing a bottoming pattern which will soon intr=
oduce a trend change.&nbsp; </span></font><o></o></p><p class=3D"yiv5998882=
55msonormal"><font size=3D"4" face=3D"Calibri"><span style=3D"font-size:14.=
0pt;">&nbsp;</span></font><o></o></p><p class=3D"yiv599888255msonormal"><fo=
nt size=3D"4" face=3D"Calibri"><span style=3D"font-size:14.0pt;">RSI(14) in=
 green traces values below 30 which is regarded as oversold .&nbsp; A =E2=
=80=9CW=E2=80=9D RSI formation below 30 suggests price exhaustion.&nbsp; In=
 this example RSI traced two valleys below 20 suggesting price is morbidly =
oversold.&nbsp; &nbsp;Once an oversold condition is identified by RSI a cla=
ssic positive divergence is first traced by RSI and price (all divergences =
are circled on chart).&nbsp; RSI traces a higher value than the value trace=
d previously.&nbsp; The next and second divergence which must be a reverse =
negative divergence with an RSI value at or near 50 suggesting a strong mov=
e higher.&nbsp; This divergence identifies the last leg down in the bottomi=
ng pattern and must form the bases for the 3<sup>rd</sup> classic positive =
divergence when RSI again retests the 30 level.&nbsp; These different diver=
gences must occur in this order with RSI values between 30 and 50.</span></=
font><o></o></p><p class=3D"yiv599888255msonormal"><font size=3D"4" face=3D=
"Calibri"><span style=3D"font-size:14.0pt;">&nbsp;</span></font><o></o></p>=
<p class=3D"yiv599888255msonormal"><font size=3D"4" face=3D"Calibri"><span =
style=3D"font-size:14.0pt;">The exact opposite occurs at a top, with RSI 70=
 and 50 being the important levels.&nbsp; RSI will trace the same sequence =
of different divergences and &nbsp;RSI =E2=80=9CM=E2=80=9D pattern.&nbsp;&n=
bsp; RSI values that exceed 80 are grossly over bought and have the same im=
plications as those below 20. </span></font><o></o></p><p class=3D"yiv59988=
8255msonormal"><font size=3D"4" face=3D"Calibri"><span style=3D"font-size:1=
4.0pt;">&nbsp;</span></font><o></o></p><p class=3D"yiv599888255msonormal"><=
font size=3D"4" face=3D"Calibri"><span style=3D"font-size:14.0pt;">This cha=
rt example identifies the penultimate RND which alerts the analyst to trend=
 change upon the completion of the final CPD.&nbsp; RSI has not yet turned =
upward, nor has a blue HA candle been traced.&nbsp; </span></font><o></o></=
p><p class=3D"yiv599888255msonormal"><font size=3D"4" face=3D"Calibri"><spa=
n style=3D"font-size:14.0pt;">&nbsp;</span></font><o></o></p><p class=3D"yi=
v599888255msonormal"><font size=3D"4" face=3D"Calibri"><span style=3D"font-=
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sp;</span></font><o></o></p><p class=3D"yiv599888255msonormal"><font size=
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